Elections, ceasefires, peace deals, geopolitical flashpoints — what the crowd with money on the line actually believes, versus the confident takes on your timeline.
Prices are probabilities: a market at 92¢ is the crowd saying 92% — and buying it pays ~8.7% if the obvious thing happens. To beat that you need a real edge measured in points, not vibes. Every page shows the payout-vs-risk so the math is yours, not ours.
Roast any market yourself → · See the engine's own settled record → · All topics →
proof, not promises — every roast is pure arithmetic from Polymarket's public gamma API, and the engine settles its own calls publicly: Forward Ledger · losses included · today's verdict. Auto-generated; refreshes as markets trend. Not financial advice.