market roast · auto-issued · $3.9M traded

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

96¢"No"
96%implied odds
$3.9Mvolume
0dto resolution
Buying "No" at 96¢ pays 3.7% if you're right. Locked for ~0 day, that's a rounding error — congratulations, you've reinvented a savings account with a 4% chance of going to zero.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes4¢3.6%27.78×
No96¢96.4%1.04×

$3.9M has traded on this market with $109k of live liquidity, and it resolves within a day. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.