market roast · auto-issued · $70.4M traded

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

95¢"Yes"
95%implied odds
$70.4Mvolume
0dto resolution
95¢ for "Yes". You risk $95 to win $5. The market is 95% sure; you're collecting pennies in front of a slow steamroller and calling it alpha.

The board

outcomepriceimpliedpays if right
Yes95¢94.8%1.05×
No5.1%19.42×

$70.4M has traded on this market with $711k of live liquidity, and it resolves within a day. Prices are probabilities here: every cent is a percent. The roast above is pure arithmetic — if it stings, the numbers did it.

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Auto-generated from Polymarket's public gamma API; refreshes while the market trends. The engine putting its own money where its math is: Forward Ledger (losses included). Not financial advice; entertainment with arithmetic.