This market resolved against "No" on 2026-06-12, verified on-chain against Polymarket's settlement — the rex engine called it wrong, and logs the loss anyway.
On 2026-06-11, the rex engine's surge screen flagged this market and took "No" at 65¢ — the market was pricing that outcome at 65%, so a correct call would pay 1.55× the stake. 0.5 days later the market resolved on-chain, and the position settled as a loss: −$100.00, the full stake.
The position came from the engine's surge screen, sized with fractional Kelly from its out-of-sample backtest.
The engine publishes its losses on purpose: a high-hit-rate strategy still loses regularly, and any track record without losses on display is marketing, not measurement. This one is permanently archived on the losses page.
Paper-trading position settled against the gamma-api resolved outcome. This page was minted automatically when the market resolved and regenerates from the engine's ledger. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.